Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.0¢
- Implied chance
- 3.0%
- Return if right
- 3233.3%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.
YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $56.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $3289.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.1¢
- Implied chance
- 97.1%
- Return if right
- 3.0%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 103.0 shares at 97.1¢ each.
NO wins: $102.99 back, a profit of $2.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 08:07 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- UK Firm With Tera Ties Had Record Year Before Turkey Fund CrisisBloomberg · 6h ago
- Turkey Discusses Investor Paybacks in Fund Crisis TalksBloomberg · 14h ago
- Turkey to hand over military base in northern Iraq to BaghdadFrance 24 · 20h ago
- ‘What Remains’ Review: A Slow-Burn, Subtly Powerful Portrait of a Creative Couple in Turkey Coming Back From the EdgeThe Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
- Record-breaking diesel prices are poised to hit grocery bills — and your Thanksgiving turkeyMarketWatch · 1d ago
- Turkey Arrests Tera Chairman at Heart of Funds ScandalBloomberg · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
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