History
Every market here has already closed and been settled. This page shows what happened, and the odds the market was giving before it knew the answer.
15,770
went as expected
5,978
were a surprise
72.5% as expected27.5% surprises
21,748 settled results, scored on the odds at the close · 20% of yes/no questions resolved Yes
Results
There are more results than this page can read at once. Pick a shorter date range to see all of them.
George Springer: Home Runs O/U 1.5
George Springer: Home Runs O/U 0.5
Amed Rosario: Home Runs O/U 1.5
Spread: RB Leipzig (-2.5)
Ethereum above 1,990 on August 7, 11AM ET?
Ethereum above 2,000 on August 7, 11AM ET?
Bitcoin above 66,600 on August 7, 11AM ET?
Spread: FK Termez Surkhon (-2.5)
Spread: CD Maipu (-2.5)
Bitcoin above 66,400 on August 6, 1PM ET?
About these numbers
Every result on this page is settled. The outcome is final and nothing here is live.
The percentage next to each result is the price traders were paying on Polymarket before the outcome was known. A Yes share trading at 87 cents means the market gave Yes an 87% chance. We record that price twice: just before a market closes, and one day earlier. The page shows the closing odds; the day-before view is there as a filter. Worth knowing when reading sports results: those markets keep trading while the game is played, so their closing price already contains most of the result.
An event with many possible outcomes, such as an election with ten candidates, counts as one result, not ten. Counting every candidate would credit the market with nine easy wins for pricing the losers near zero.
These are past results. They say nothing about what any open market will do.