Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.1¢
- Implied chance
- 5.1%
- Return if right
- 1860.8%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 1960.8 shares at 5.1¢ each.
YES wins: $1960.78 back, a profit of $1860.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $286.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $2147.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.2¢
- Implied chance
- 96.2%
- Return if right
- 4.0%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 104.0 shares at 96.2¢ each.
NO wins: $103.95 back, a profit of $3.95. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.66.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 08:30 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Azerbaijan pardons French national Martin Ryan jailed on spy chargesAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Azerbaijan pardons Frenchman after EU lifts sanctions on Russian billionaireBBC News · 1d ago
- Azerbaijan pardons jailed Frenchman after EU lifts sanctions on Russian billionaireFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Red Bull's Hadjar to return at Azerbaijan Grand PrixBBC Sport · 3d ago
- How to follow Azerbaijan Grand Prix on the BBCBBC Sport · 3d ago
- US-backed Israel-Morocco deal deepens Abraham Accords amid growing regional threatsFox News · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
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