Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.0¢
- Implied chance
- 4.0%
- Return if right
- 2400.0%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.
YES wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $674.60 of that profit. Without it you would make $3074.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.7¢
- Implied chance
- 97.7%
- Return if right
- 2.4%
- Spread cost
- 28%
If you put in $100
You get 102.4 shares at 97.7¢ each.
NO wins: $102.35 back, a profit of $2.35. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 08:18 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘Source of anxiety’: Pakistan cracks down before march to free Imran KhanAl Jazeera · 11h ago
- Pakistan launches air strikes in Afghanistan, killing civilians, Taliban saysFrance 24 · 12h ago
- Pakistan Locks Down Capital to Thwart Imran Khan Protest MarchBloomberg · 13h ago
- Pakistan-administered Kashmir votes for president amid unrestAl Jazeera · 14h ago
- Pakistan Strikes Afghanistan, Accuses Kabul of Drone AttacksBloomberg · 16h ago
- Pakistan's jailed former PM Khan's sons told DW the authorities are cracking down ahead of new PTI protestsDeutsche Welle · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
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