Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.6¢
- Implied chance
- 6.6%
- Return if right
- 1415.2%
- Spread cost
- 36%
If you put in $100
You get 1515.2 shares at 6.6¢ each.
YES wins: $1515.15 back, a profit of $1415.15. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $810.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $2225.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 55%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.49.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 2, 04:53 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Clueless 'SNL' mocks Tucker Carlson with outdated impressionThe Hill · 3d ago
- Tucker Carlson Returns to ‘SNL’ to Review ‘The Odyssey,’ Gender-Neutral ‘Spider-Man’ and Left-Wing ‘Obsession’Variety · 6d ago
- Judge restores journalists' White House access. And, Tucker Carlson on his MAGA splitNPR · 8d ago
- Abdul El-Sayed, a Democrat, Has an Unlikely Defender: Tucker CarlsonThe New York Times · 12d ago
- JD Vance was right to stand by Tucker Carlson — and free speechThe Hill · 20d ago
- Tucker Carlson: El-Sayed campaign 'literally Trumpian'The Hill · 29d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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