Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.6¢
- Implied chance
- 4.6%
- Return if right
- 2073.9%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 2173.9 shares at 4.6¢ each.
YES wins: $2173.91 back, a profit of $2073.91. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $457.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $2531.58.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.86 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Steve Bannon4.3%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
- Pete Buttigieg10.9%
- Marjorie Taylor Greene5.5%
- Kamala Harris5.0%
- Hunter Biden5.5%
Latest: Sep 24, 11:21 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bernie Sanders, Steve Bannon call for more AI guardrailsCBS News · 8d ago
- Sen. Bernie Sanders, Steve Bannon appear at same AI safety rallyCBS News · 9d ago
- Steve Bannon and Bernie Sanders Condemn Tech ‘Oligarchs’ and Demand A.I. ReformsThe New York Times · 9d ago
- Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon call for curbs on AI at ‘pro-human’ summitThe Guardian · 9d ago
- In Washington, unlikely bedfellows like Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon talk about making AI "humans first"CBS News · 9d ago
- Bernie Sanders and Steve Bannon to share a stage to promote curbs on AINPR · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027?