Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.8¢
- Implied chance
- 6.8%
- Return if right
- 1370.6%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 1470.6 shares at 6.8¢ each.
YES wins: $1470.59 back, a profit of $1370.59. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $238.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $1609.40.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.1¢
- Implied chance
- 95.1%
- Return if right
- 5.2%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 105.2 shares at 95.1¢ each.
NO wins: $105.15 back, a profit of $5.15. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Jon Stewart7.0%
- Gavin Newsom14.0%
- Kamala Harris6.6%
- Hunter Biden5.9%
- Josh Hawley5.3%
- Marjorie Taylor Greene5.5%
Latest: Oct 2, 03:48 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Brazil: Who is presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro?France 24 · 59m ago
- Prabowo Taps Tycoons, Religious Leaders as Presidential AdvisersBloomberg · 5h ago
- Everything you need to know about Brazil’s tight presidential raceAl Jazeera · 14h ago
- RFK Jr. to roll out $10 million challenge to encourage Presidential Fitness Test in schoolsNBC News · 1d ago
- One Issue Hanging Over Brazil’s Presidential Election: Online Gambling and Record-High DebtsThe New York Times · 1d ago
- El Salvador sets date for 2027 presidential election as Bukele seeks third termFrance 24 · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027?
- Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027?