Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 49.0¢
- Implied chance
- 49.0%
- Return if right
- 104.1%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.
YES wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $77.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 78.0¢
- Implied chance
- 78.0%
- Return if right
- 28.2%
- Spread cost
- 49%
If you put in $100
You get 128.2 shares at 78.0¢ each.
NO wins: $128.21 back, a profit of $28.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Moscow35.0%
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in …100.0%
- Will Trump say "Washington D.C."…100.0%
- Will Trump say "Mexico" in August99.1%
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in …99.1%
- MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology79.9%
Latest: Aug 10, 08:03 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Moscow, Kyiv assassins hunt weapons bosses as Ukraine war spills beyond the battlefieldFox News · 23h ago
- Syria says it reached deal with Moscow on future of Russian basesAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- Russia cracks down on 9 crypto exchanges in Moscow CityCointelegraph · 3d ago
- Russian strikes kill six in Ukraine as Moscow intercepts hundreds of dronesAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- Russia deploys North Korean missile unit to Ukraine; Moscow-Pyongyang axis deepens: reportFox News · 5d ago
- Ukrainian drone strike on Russian warehouses in Moscow region kills 5CBS News · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Other outcomes in What places will Trump mention in August?
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?
- Will Trump say "Washington D.C." in August?
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August?
- Will Trump say "Mexico" in August?
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" in August?
- Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August?
- Will Trump say "National Mall" in August?
- Will Trump say "Harvard" in August?
- Will Trump say "Greenland" in August?
- Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?
- Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August?
- Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?
- Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?
- Will Trump say "Mars" in August?
- Will Trump say "Jerusalem" in August?
- Will Trump say "Penn Station" in August?
- Will Trump say "Abbey Gate" in August?