Will Trump say "Mexico" in August?
BUY NO
- Cost
- 1.8¢
- Implied chance
- 1.8%
- Return if right
- 5455.6%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 5555.6 shares at 1.8¢ each.
NO wins: $5555.56 back, a profit of $5455.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Will Trump say "Mexico" in August99.1%
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in …100.0%
- Will Trump say "Washington D.C."…100.0%
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in …99.1%
- Tehran69.5%
- MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology79.9%
Latest: Aug 10, 08:03 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Swiss Re announces India and Mexico partnershipsYahoo Finance · 5h ago
- Borderlands Mexico: USMCA gives Mexico an edge as global trade barriers riseYahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Slain California fire captain’s wife admits murder after Mexico capture, serving time for killing first spouseFox News · 2d ago
- US Partly Resumes Operations in Mexico’s Avocado State MichoacanBloomberg · 3d ago
- Flesh-eating screwworms feast on humans in Mexico; human cases top 500Ars Technica · 3d ago
- US police officer accused of killing three people in Mexico arrested at borderThe Guardian · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Mexico" in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Other outcomes in What places will Trump mention in August?
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?
- Will Trump say "Washington D.C." in August?
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August?
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" in August?
- Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August?
- Will Trump say "National Mall" in August?
- Will Trump say "Harvard" in August?
- Will Trump say "Greenland" in August?
- Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?
- Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?
- Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August?
- Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?
- Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?
- Will Trump say "Mars" in August?
- Will Trump say "Jerusalem" in August?
- Will Trump say "Penn Station" in August?
- Will Trump say "Abbey Gate" in August?