Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 38.0¢
- Implied chance
- 38.0%
- Return if right
- 163.2%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.
YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $44.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $207.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 73.0¢
- Implied chance
- 73.0%
- Return if right
- 37.0%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.
NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $48.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Smithsonian32.5%
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in …100.0%
- Will Trump say "Washington D.C."…100.0%
- Will Trump say "Mexico" in August99.1%
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in …99.1%
- MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology80.0%
Latest: Aug 10, 11:52 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Great-grandson of slaves has warning about Smithsonian’s anti-American ‘indoctrination’ and more top headlinesFox News · 12h ago
- Embattled Smithsonian director brought 'Marxist' activism, political agenda to roles through career: historianFox News · 14h ago
- Descendant of slaves shames Smithsonian’s woke ‘indoctrination’ against the ‘greatest nation on earth’Fox News · 14h ago
- IN CHARTS: A visual breakdown of the Smithsonian's billion-dollar taxpayer-funded budgetFox News · 2d ago
- Murkowski, Merkley demand answers on Trump's Smithsonian disclaimersThe Hill · 3d ago
- GOP senator breaks with Trump over 'woke' Smithsonian history battleFox News · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Smithsonian" in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Other outcomes in What places will Trump mention in August?
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?
- Will Trump say "Washington D.C." in August?
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August?
- Will Trump say "Mexico" in August?
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" in August?
- Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August?
- Will Trump say "National Mall" in August?
- Will Trump say "Harvard" in August?
- Will Trump say "Greenland" in August?
- Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?
- Will Trump say "Moscow" in August?
- Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?
- Will Trump say "Mars" in August?
- Will Trump say "Gaza" in August?
- Will Trump say "Jerusalem" in August?
- Will Trump say "Penn Station" in August?
- Will Trump say "Abbey Gate" in August?