Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" in August?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 98.6¢
- Implied chance
- 98.6%
- Return if right
- 1.4%
- Spread cost
- 94%
If you put in $100
You get 101.4 shares at 98.6¢ each.
YES wins: $101.42 back, a profit of $1.42. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 38.9¢
- Implied chance
- 38.9%
- Return if right
- 157.1%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 257.1 shares at 38.9¢ each.
NO wins: $257.07 back, a profit of $157.07. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $239.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $396.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology79.8%
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in …100.0%
- Will Trump say "Washington D.C."…99.9%
- Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in …99.1%
- Will Trump say "Mexico" in August99.0%
- Tehran68.5%
Latest: Aug 11, 07:10 AM4 further outcomes not shown
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technolo…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Other outcomes in What places will Trump mention in August?
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