Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?

Q: Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?

Prediction markets currently price this at 68%. A YES share costs 68.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 47.1% over 21d.

What places will Trump mention in August?$251 liquidity$625 volumecloses 21d

TrumpMentionsPolitics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 68.0¢
Implied chance: 68.0%
Return if right: 47.1%
Spread cost: 42%

If you put in $100

You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.

YES wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $34.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $81.82.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 58.0¢
Implied chance: 58.0%
Return if right: 72.4%
Spread cost: 41%

If you put in $100

You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.

NO wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $49.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $122.22.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 10, 08:27 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf