Will Trump say "Greenland" in August?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 93.0¢
- Implied chance
- 93.0%
- Return if right
- 7.5%
- Spread cost
- 88%
If you put in $100
You get 107.5 shares at 93.0¢ each.
YES wins: $107.53 back, a profit of $7.53. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $53.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $61.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 69.0¢
- Implied chance
- 69.0%
- Return if right
- 44.9%
- Spread cost
- 72%
If you put in $100
You get 144.9 shares at 69.0¢ each.
NO wins: $144.93 back, a profit of $44.93. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $118.23 of that profit. Without it you would make $163.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Greenland61.5%
- MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology79.9%
- National Mall72.0%
- Gulf of America / Gulf of Mexico75.0%
- Tehran69.5%
- Harvard71.5%
Latest: Aug 10, 08:31 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Tensions in the Arctic: Greenland issues sharp rebuke to Trump-linked oil companyFrance 24 · 5h ago
- Greenland issues warning against US oil drilling on its territoryFrance 24 · 13h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Greenland" in August?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Other outcomes in What places will Trump mention in August?
- Will Trump say "Middle East" in August?
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- Will Trump say "Mexico" in August?
- Will Trump say "MIT" or "Massachusetts Institute of Technology" in August?
- Will Trump say "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Mexico" in August?
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- Will Trump say "Harvard" in August?
- Will Trump say "Tehran" in August?
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