Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.0¢
- Implied chance
- 11.0%
- Return if right
- 809.1%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 909.1 shares at 11.0¢ each.
YES wins: $909.09 back, a profit of $809.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $519.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $1328.57.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.0¢
- Implied chance
- 97.0%
- Return if right
- 3.1%
- Spread cost
- 59%
If you put in $100
You get 103.1 shares at 97.0¢ each.
NO wins: $103.09 back, a profit of $3.09. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $7.53.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Mark Carney7.0%
- Benjamin Netanyahu10.0%
- Javier Milei14.0%
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy11.5%
- Andy Burnham5.5%
- Giorgia Meloni7.5%
Latest: Oct 5, 05:52 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- A Transcript From The Times Interview with Prime Minister Mark Carney of CanadaThe New York Times · 7d ago
- Special Edition: Our Interview With Mark CarneyThe New York Times · 9d ago
- Mark Carney Interview: Canada’s Leader Lays Out Vision for Breaking Reliance on U.S.The New York Times · 11d ago
- 'Guess who didn't like Mark Carney's speech today? The far-right'France 24 · 17d ago
- Mark Carney's EU speech highlights Canada's shifting alliancesFrance 24 · 18d ago
- Canada’s Oil Sands Get a Boost From Mark CarneyBloomberg · 18d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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