Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.0¢
- Implied chance
- 20.0%
- Return if right
- 400.0%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 500.0 shares at 20.0¢ each.
YES wins: $500.00 back, a profit of $400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $71.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 85.0¢
- Implied chance
- 85.0%
- Return if right
- 17.6%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 117.6 shares at 85.0¢ each.
NO wins: $117.65 back, a profit of $17.65. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Dario Amodei17.5%
- Benjamin Netanyahu10.0%
- Javier Milei14.0%
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy11.5%
- Andy Burnham5.5%
- Giorgia Meloni7.5%
Latest: Oct 5, 05:07 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump had private dinner with Anthropic CEO Dario AmodeiCBS News · 7d ago
- President Trump confirms dinner with Anthropic's Dario AmodeiCBS News · 7d ago
- Dario Amodei of Anthropic to Dine With Trump at White HouseThe New York Times · 7d ago
- Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei to have private White House dinner with TrumpThe Hill · 7d ago
- Anthropic’s Dario Amodei gets the SNL treatmentTechCrunch · 8d ago
- Scoop: Anthropic's Dario Amodei to have White House dinner with TrumpAxios · 8d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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