Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.0¢
- Implied chance
- 6.0%
- Return if right
- 1566.7%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $151.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $1718.18.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.0¢
- Implied chance
- 95.0%
- Return if right
- 5.3%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.
NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Andy Burnham5.5%
- Elon Musk31.0%
- Benjamin Netanyahu10.0%
- Javier Milei14.0%
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy11.5%
- Giorgia Meloni7.5%
Latest: Oct 5, 04:13 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Andy Burnham urged by Lib Dems to reveal all meetings with owners of Manchester CityThe Guardian · 3d ago
- Recent lobbyist for Palantir had key role in helping Andy Burnham become PMThe Guardian · 3d ago
- First minister demands 'new deal' from Andy Burnham to make Wales equal to ScotlandBBC Politics · 3d ago
- Chris Mason: Why Andy Burnham's about-turn on Manchester City mattersBBC Politics · 3d ago
- How success of Manchester City helped put Andy Burnham in powerThe Guardian · 3d ago
- Andy Burnham’s Manchester City Remarks Rile Government OfficialsBloomberg · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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