Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.0¢
- Implied chance
- 3.0%
- Return if right
- 3233.3%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.
YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2727.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $5960.61.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 82%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.38 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.68.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Kim Jong Un0.9%
- Elon Musk26.0%
- Benjamin Netanyahu10.0%
- Javier Milei14.0%
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy11.5%
- Andy Burnham5.5%
Latest: Oct 5, 05:02 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Kim Jong Un's sister issues warning as she denies South Korea land mine claimsSky News · 5d ago
- Trump calls Kim Jong Un a ‘friend’ and plays down N Korea’s nuclear arsenalAl Jazeera · 5d ago
- Trump should meet Kim Jong Un and make a deal to end the Korean WarThe Hill · 19d ago
- Why North Korea's Kim Jong Un doesn't need a US dealDeutsche Welle · 24d ago
- World’s nuclear watchdog endorses Trump’s push for Kim Jong Un meetingThe Washington Post · 1mo ago
- Trump plays nuclear poker with Kim Jong Un — but who holds the cards?Fox News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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