Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?

Which bills will become law in 2026?$235 liquidity$3k volumecloses 4.7mo
CongressTrumpPolitics
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
8.9¢
Implied chance
8.9%
Return if right
1023.6%
Spread cost
38%

If you put in $100

You get 1123.6 shares at 8.9¢ each.

YES wins: $1123.60 back, a profit of $1023.60. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $630.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $1654.39.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
97.5¢
Implied chance
97.5%
Return if right
2.6%
Spread cost
58%

If you put in $100

You get 102.6 shares at 97.5¢ each.

NO wins: $102.56 back, a profit of $2.56. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.04.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this ”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the H.R. 1329 (119th) — “Smithsonian American Women’s History Museum Act.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in Which bills will become law in 2026?

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