Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 8.5¢
- Implied chance
- 8.5%
- Return if right
- 1076.5%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 1176.5 shares at 8.5¢ each.
YES wins: $1176.47 back, a profit of $1076.47. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $658.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $1734.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.6¢
- Implied chance
- 97.6%
- Return if right
- 2.5%
- Spread cost
- 57%
If you put in $100
You get 102.5 shares at 97.6¢ each.
NO wins: $102.46 back, a profit of $2.46. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Credit-card routing competition14.1%
- FISA Section 702 reauthorization15.0%
- NO FAKES Act21.5%
- SHOWER Act4.1%
- Critical-minerals stockpile8.0%
- SELF DRIVE Act2.8%
Latest: Sep 24, 06:45 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- My plan to pay off $7,500 in credit-card debt can work for youMarketWatch · 2d ago
- How Today’s Rate Hike Hits Credit-Card Debt, Savings AccountsYahoo Finance · 8d ago
- I have $125,000 in credit-card debt. Will $17,000 a month in income, including disability, affect my bankruptcy?MarketWatch · 8d ago
- Is it a bad idea to withdraw from my retirement account to pay off my last $1,000 in credit-card debt?MarketWatch · 27d ago
- Rising Deficits Trigger a ‘Credit-Card Penalty’ on U.S. DebtYahoo Finance · 1mo ago
- Credit-Card Deliquencies Are Staying on Credit Reports LongerYahoo Finance · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes the S.Amdt. 2229 to S. 1582 — “Credit Card Competition Act of 2025.” Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Which bills will become law in 2026?
- Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
- Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
- Will the Smithsonian Women’s History Museum become law this year?
- Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
- Will Trump Airport become law this year?
- Will the SELF DRIVE Act become law this year?
- Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
- Will the DEFIANCE Act become law this year?
- Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
- Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
- Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
- Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?
- Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?