Will Serbia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.9¢
- Implied chance
- 0.9%
- Return if right
- 11011.1%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 11111.1 shares at 0.9¢ each.
YES wins: $11111.11 back, a profit of $11011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7070.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $18081.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 64%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.35 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 25, 01:30 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- EU, Russian aircraft help Serbia battle wildfiresAl Jazeera · 18h ago
- Serbia requests international assistance to battle wildfiresAl Jazeera · 1d ago
- "Sava's Titanic" wreckage emerges in Serbia as rivers dry upCBS News · 4d ago
- A year after student protests shook Valjevo: Serbia at a crossroadsAl Jazeera · 11d ago
- Serbia and Ukraine pledge closer economic ties, eye free trade dealAl Jazeera · 16d ago
- Serbia’s Vucic attempts diplomatic ‘balancing act’ with Zelensky’s visitFrance 24 · 17d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Serbia win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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