Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 4.9¢
- Implied chance
- 4.9%
- Return if right
- 1940.8%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 2040.8 shares at 4.9¢ each.
YES wins: $2040.82 back, a profit of $1940.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $459.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $2400.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.9¢
- Implied chance
- 96.9%
- Return if right
- 3.2%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 103.2 shares at 96.9¢ each.
NO wins: $103.20 back, a profit of $3.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.97 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 25, 01:30 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Germany widens MiCA lead as latest EU register update adds 6 banksCointelegraph · 15h ago
- Volkswagen warns Germany's car-making industry is in jeopardyFrance 24 · 15h ago
- Germany news: State premier visits VW for crisis talksDeutsche Welle · 18h ago
- Equinor and Uniper Sign 15-Year Gas Supply Deal for GermanyYahoo Finance · 19h ago
- Kane first Englishman to win Germany's player of the year awardBBC Sport · 1d ago
- Harry Kane named footballer of the year in GermanyDeutsche Welle · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournamen…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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