Will Netherlands win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.5¢
- Implied chance
- 5.5%
- Return if right
- 1718.2%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 1818.2 shares at 5.5¢ each.
YES wins: $1818.18 back, a profit of $1718.18. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1306.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $3025.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.1¢
- Implied chance
- 99.1%
- Return if right
- 0.9%
- Spread cost
- 73%
If you put in $100
You get 100.9 shares at 99.1¢ each.
NO wins: $100.91 back, a profit of $0.91. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.31.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 25, 01:30 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- England World Cup hopes end after Netherlands drawBBC Sport · 5h ago
- F1 in the Netherlands: The driver you most want to beat is your teammateArs Technica · 9h ago
- The Netherlands will not participate in the 'no longer neutral' 2027 Eurovision Song ContestDeutsche Welle · 17h ago
- Xavi becomes first non-Dutch Netherlands coach since 1978BBC Sport · 12d ago
- Slot pulls out of Netherlands talks to focus on club footballBBC Sport · 13d ago
- 'Oh my word!' - Netherlands' Visser wins 100m hurdles by 0.001 secsBBC Sport · 13d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Netherlands win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tourn…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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