Will Bulgaria win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.5¢
- Implied chance
- 1.5%
- Return if right
- 6566.7%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 6666.7 shares at 1.5¢ each.
YES wins: $6666.67 back, a profit of $6566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4444.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $11011.11.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 25, 02:19 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- 2 US military refueling aircraft depart Bulgaria amid anger from Iran over deploymentThe Hill · 9h ago
- Eurovision Song Contest 2027 to be held in Burgas, BulgariaBBC News · 12d ago
- Lunar Light Festival turns Bulgaria's Black Sea coast into open-air exhibitionFrance 24 · 13d ago
- Bulgaria: What does the Ukrainian drone incursion reveal?Deutsche Welle · 14d ago
- Bulgaria drone crash a wake-up call for country's defensesDeutsche Welle · 14d ago
- Ukraine denies targeting Bulgaria, after drone exploded near a gas pipelineFrance 24 · 16d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bulgaria win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tourname…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, currently scheduled for September 15, 2026 to September 28, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, FIDE (https://chessolympiad2026.fide.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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