Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
- Karina Milei0.1%
- Javier Milei53.5%
- Patricia Bullrich1.7%
- Axel Kicillof32.5%
- Cristina Fernández de Kirchner2.0%
- Sergio Massa6.5%
Latest: Oct 2, 03:09 PM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Argentina launches cash-for-citizenship schemeDeutsche Welle · 43m ago
- YPF Investors Ask High Court to Review Argentina Court WinBloomberg · 1d ago
- El repunte bursátil de Argentina se limita a las empresas petrolerasBloomberg · 2d ago
- Argentina shuns meat as purchasing plummets under MileiFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Argentina’s Milei threatens legal action over Falklands oil projectAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- As A.I. Panic Grows, Javier Milei Is Pitching Argentina As a Rules-Free HavenThe New York Times · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential electi…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
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