Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.5¢
- Implied chance
- 0.5%
- Return if right
- 19900.0%
- Spread cost
- 40%
If you put in $100
You get 20000.0 shares at 0.5¢ each.
YES wins: $20000.00 back, a profit of $19900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $33233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 67%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Cristina Fernández de Kirchner1.1%
- Javier Milei53.5%
- Patricia Bullrich1.6%
- Axel Kicillof32.5%
- Sergio Massa6.6%
Latest: Oct 2, 04:01 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Argentina launches cash-for-citizenship schemeDeutsche Welle · 2h ago
- YPF Investors Ask High Court to Review Argentina Court WinBloomberg · 1d ago
- El repunte bursátil de Argentina se limita a las empresas petrolerasBloomberg · 2d ago
- Argentina shuns meat as purchasing plummets under MileiFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Argentina’s Milei threatens legal action over Falklands oil projectAl Jazeera · 3d ago
- As A.I. Panic Grows, Javier Milei Is Pitching Argentina As a Rules-Free HavenThe New York Times · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina p…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Other outcomes in Argentina Presidential Election Winner
- Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Dante Gebel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
- Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?