Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.3¢
- Implied chance
- 0.3%
- Return if right
- 33233.3%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 33333.3 shares at 0.3¢ each.
YES wins: $33333.33 back, a profit of $33233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $39900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.8¢
- Implied chance
- 99.8%
- Return if right
- 0.2%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.
NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 11:07 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘The Eternaut’ Star Ricardo Darín on Argentina’s Resilience: ‘We’re Like Peter Sellers in ‘The Party,’ the Bugler Who Never Dies’Variety · 14h ago
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- Argentina’s Milei assails the U.N. as a ‘useless’ enabler of ‘fatally arrogant’ bureaucrats.The New York Times · 1d ago
- Argentina to UN: Falkland Islands are a ‘national cause’Al Jazeera · 1d ago
- Qatar’s LNG Loss Revives Projects From Argentina to Timor-LesteYahoo Finance · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential el…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
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