Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 43.0¢
- Implied chance
- 43.0%
- Return if right
- 132.6%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 232.6 shares at 43.0¢ each.
YES wins: $232.56 back, a profit of $132.56. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.74 of that profit. Without it you would make $135.29.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 58.0¢
- Implied chance
- 58.0%
- Return if right
- 72.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 172.4 shares at 58.0¢ each.
NO wins: $172.41 back, a profit of $72.41. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $73.91.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 25, 07:11 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Live updates: Bitcoin steadies near $84,000 as the bond selloff pausesCoinDesk · 3m ago
- Researchers propose Zcash-style private Bitcoin transfers without a soft forkCointelegraph · 3h ago
- Block brings Bitcoin Lightning payments to x402 for AI agentsCointelegraph · 5h ago
- Bitcoin price steadies, ONDO rallies as US Treasury yields hit 2007 highsCointelegraph · 11h ago
- Saifedean Ammous: The Bond Crisis & Bitcoin’s Rise as a True Macro AssetBitcoin Magazine · 12h ago
- Bitcoin just topped a key long-term moving average. Here's what it might meanCoinDesk · 12h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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