Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 80.0¢
- Implied chance
- 80.0%
- Return if right
- 25.0%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 125.0 shares at 80.0¢ each.
YES wins: $125.00 back, a profit of $25.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.39 of that profit. Without it you would make $27.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 23.0¢
- Implied chance
- 23.0%
- Return if right
- 334.8%
- Spread cost
- 8%
If you put in $100
You get 434.8 shares at 23.0¢ each.
NO wins: $434.78 back, a profit of $334.78. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $30.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $365.12.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 04:14 PM5 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- BlackRock launches two Canada ETFs, with one allocating 3% to BitcoinCointelegraph · 16m ago
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs Post Strongest Weekly Inflows Since April After Coldcard HackYahoo Finance · 27m ago
- Bitcoin miner Bitdeer’s shares sink 15% despite revenue growth, progress on AI pivotThe Block · 37m ago
- BIP-110 Fork Stalls at Two Blocks as Bitcoin Miners Refuse to FollowBitcoin Magazine · 1h ago
- Adam Back-backed H100 more than triples bitcoin holdings to 3,506 BTC in acquisition dealThe Block · 1h ago
- Michael Saylor Reveals Why Strategy Sold Bitcoin Near $60K Despite Its Buy and Hold StrategyYahoo Finance · 2h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final “Low” price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “Low” prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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