Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 62.0¢
- Implied chance
- 62.0%
- Return if right
- 61.3%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.
YES wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $72.41.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 46.0¢
- Implied chance
- 46.0%
- Return if right
- 117.4%
- Spread cost
- 15%
If you put in $100
You get 217.4 shares at 46.0¢ each.
NO wins: $217.39 back, a profit of $117.39. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $20.70 of that profit. Without it you would make $138.10.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 25, 11:14 AM4 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin's surging price faces 1 key level that could signal if the bear market is really overCoinDesk · 2m ago
- A bitcoin short squeeze for the ages as futures open interest collapsesCoinDesk · 20m ago
- Bitcoin extends 7-day advance to roughly 25%CoinDesk · 25m ago
- Bitcoin RSI bullish divergence draws 2022 comparisons as analysis weighs new price trendCointelegraph · 28m ago
- Strategy Builds $6.69B Cash War Chest While Holding 4% of Bitcoin SupplyYahoo Finance · 44m ago
- Bitcoin News: ETF Demand and Short Covering Power August RallyYahoo Finance · 52m ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT “High” and “Low” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with the chart settings on “1m” (one-minute candles) selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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