Will Trump say "World War" this week?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 90.0¢
- Implied chance
- 90.0%
- Return if right
- 11.1%
- Spread cost
- 76%
If you put in $100
You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.
YES wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $35.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $47.06.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 54.0¢
- Implied chance
- 54.0%
- Return if right
- 85.2%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 185.2 shares at 54.0¢ each.
NO wins: $185.19 back, a profit of $85.19. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $127.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $212.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 23, 04:18 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Netflix Sets Theatrical and Streaming Dates for Peter Berg’s World War II Drama ‘The Mosquito Bowl’ (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 2d ago
- Judge Releases Woman Accused of Vandalizing World War II MemorialThe New York Times · 5d ago
- Police execute controlled World War II–era Mine explosionAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Is the US already in World War IV — and losing?The Hill · 9d ago
- DOJ Charges Kentucky Woman in World War II Memorial Vandalism CaseThe New York Times · 9d ago
- Woman charged over vandalism of World War II Memorial in Washington, DCAl Jazeera · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "World War" this week?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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