Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 79.0¢
- Implied chance
- 79.0%
- Return if right
- 26.6%
- Spread cost
- 35%
If you put in $100
You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.
YES wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $40.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 37.0¢
- Implied chance
- 37.0%
- Return if right
- 170.3%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.
NO wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $74.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $244.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 23, 04:18 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- BROADCAST BIAS: Sophie Cunningham takes a hit, but ABC, NBC dodge WNBA’s transgender sports fightFox News · 1d ago
- Log Cabin Republicans cut ties with transgender movementThe Hill · 2d ago
- WNBA commissioner Cathy Engelbert blames the wrong people for ‘sowing divisiveness’ in transgender debateFox News · 2d ago
- French transgender phenom Julie Tetart looks absolutely unstoppable in latest videos, but WNBA still silentFox News · 2d ago
- Transgender defendant who sought to 'kill Scott Bessent' sentenced to more than 6 years in prisonFox News · 5d ago
- Charlamagne blasts 'dumb' Democrats for getting drawn into WNBA transgender debate ahead of midtermsFox News · 6d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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