Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 37.0¢
- Implied chance
- 37.0%
- Return if right
- 170.3%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.
YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $11.42 of that profit. Without it you would make $181.69.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 66.0¢
- Implied chance
- 66.0%
- Return if right
- 51.5%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 151.5 shares at 66.0¢ each.
NO wins: $151.52 back, a profit of $51.52. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.52 of that profit. Without it you would make $55.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 23, 04:19 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Venezuela says 131 political prisoners freed amid post-Maduro talksAl Jazeera · 9d ago
- Venezuela's interim govt, opposition wrap first round of post-Maduro talksFrance 24 · 11d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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