Will Trump or Melania say "MAGA / Make America Great Again" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.9¢
- Implied chance
- 3.9%
- Return if right
- 2464.1%
- Spread cost
- 50%
If you put in $100
You get 2564.1 shares at 3.9¢ each.
YES wins: $2564.10 back, a profit of $2464.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2435.90 of that profit. Without it you would make $4900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 95%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.94 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.04.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- MAGA / Make America Great Again2.0%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99.6%
- Youth99.1%
- Investment / Investing98.6%
- Future98.1%
- Foster 7+ times0.5%
Latest: Aug 20, 10:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- 'I heard you missed me': Melania Trump turns heads in patriotic Rose Garden look for major announcementFox News · 2h ago
- Melania Trump announces new foster scholarships ahead of IndyCar DC eventThe Hill · 3h ago
- First lady Melania Trump, Fox Corporation announce landmark strategic alliance to grow Fostering the FutureFox News · 4h ago
- Watch: Trump, first lady headline Fostering Future Together event in Rose GardenThe Hill · 5h ago
- Details of Amazon’s ‘Melania’ Followup Begin to EmergeThe Hollywood Reporter · 3d ago
- Sophie Cunningham supporters rally in Indiana while displaying what makes America greatFox News · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump or Melania say "MAGA / Make America Great Again" …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Donald Trump and Melania are scheduled to give remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026. (https://x.com/MELANIAJTRUMP/status/2089706656896594323). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or Melania say the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s and Melania’s remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Other outcomes in What will Trump or Melania say during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?
- Will Trump or Melania say "AI / Artificial Intelligence" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?
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- Will Trump or Melania say "Honey / Darling" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?
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- Will Trump’s remarks not air?
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