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Will Trump or Melania say "Afford / Affordable / Affordability" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?

What will Trump or Melania say during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?$837 liquidity$288 volumecloses n/a
TrumpCultureMentionsPolitics
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
4.9¢
Implied chance
4.9%
Return if right
1940.8%
Spread cost
50%

If you put in $100

You get 2040.8 shares at 4.9¢ each.

YES wins: $2040.82 back, a profit of $1940.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1959.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $3900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

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Cost
99.9¢
Implied chance
99.9%
Return if right
0.1%
Spread cost
96%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.46 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.56.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H6H1D1W1MALL
0%25%50%75%100%Aug 19Aug 20

Latest: Aug 20, 10:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump or Melania say "Afford / Affordable / Affordabili…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Donald Trump and Melania are scheduled to give remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026. (https://x.com/MELANIAJTRUMP/status/2089706656896594323). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or Melania say the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s and Melania’s remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Will Trump or Melania say "Afford / Affordable / Affordability" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden? (5% chance) | PullToPar