Will Trump or Melania say "Community" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?

Q: Will Trump or Melania say "Community" during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?

Prediction markets currently price this at 100%. A YES share costs 99.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 0.1%.

What will Trump or Melania say during remarks in the White House Rose Garden?$3k liquidity$536 volumecloses n/a

TrumpCultureMentionsPolitics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 99.9¢
Implied chance: 99.9%
Return if right: 0.1%
Spread cost: 99%

If you put in $100

You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.

YES wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $18.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $18.34.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 30.9¢
Implied chance: 30.9%
Return if right: 223.6%
Spread cost: 59%

If you put in $100

You get 323.6 shares at 30.9¢ each.

NO wins: $323.62 back, a profit of $223.62. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $321.54 of that profit. Without it you would make $545.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 20, 10:00 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

Donald Trump and Melania are scheduled to give remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026. (https://x.com/MELANIAJTRUMP/status/2089706656896594323). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or Melania say the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump’s and Melania’s remarks during a Fostering the Future Initiative in the White House Rose Garden on August 20, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf