Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?$251 liquidity$2k volumecloses 4.1mo
PoliticsTechEconomyTrumpBig Tech
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
9.0¢
Implied chance
9.0%
Return if right
1011.1%
Spread cost
18%

If you put in $100

You get 1111.1 shares at 9.0¢ each.

YES wins: $1111.11 back, a profit of $1011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $1233.33.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
94.0¢
Implied chance
94.0%
Return if right
6.4%
Spread cost
21%

If you put in $100

You get 106.4 shares at 94.0¢ each.

NO wins: $106.38 back, a profit of $6.38. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.73 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.11.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 22Aug 29

Latest: Aug 29, 10:28 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Mart”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

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