Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.0¢
- Implied chance
- 13.0%
- Return if right
- 669.2%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.
YES wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $64.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $733.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.0¢
- Implied chance
- 89.0%
- Return if right
- 12.4%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.
NO wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 29, 10:27 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Unusual Machines?
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Micron Technology, Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited?
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Lockheed Martin Corporation?
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company?
Will the US federal government take a stake in SpaceX?