Will Steve Scalise be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 6.6¢
- Implied chance
- 6.6%
- Return if right
- 1415.2%
- Spread cost
- 41%
If you put in $100
You get 1515.2 shares at 6.6¢ each.
YES wins: $1515.15 back, a profit of $1415.15. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $984.85 of that profit. Without it you would make $2400.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.6¢
- Implied chance
- 98.6%
- Return if right
- 1.4%
- Spread cost
- 66%
If you put in $100
You get 101.4 shares at 98.6¢ each.
NO wins: $101.42 back, a profit of $1.42. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.17.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Steve Scalise4.8%
- Hakeem Jeffries78.5%
- Mike Johnson12.3%
- Pete Aguilar3.7%
- Katherine Clark9.8%
- Jim Jordan5.7%
Latest: Aug 10, 05:38 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- OpenAI’s expensive smart speaker will use moving parts to seem “more alive”Ars Technica · 3d ago
- OpenAI's First Device Is a $300-Plus Doughnut-Shaped Speaker: ReportDecrypt · 3d ago
- Trump says he’d ‘probably get along’ with Jeffries as House speakerThe Washington Post · 3d ago
- Trump says he would 'probably' get along with Jeffries as SpeakerThe Hill · 3d ago
- EXCLUSIVE: Michigan House speaker calls for answers over $300M taxpayer-funded Rx Kids programFox News · 4d ago
- OpenAI’s new AI smart speaker will reportedly sell for between $300-$400TechCrunch · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Steve Scalise be the first Speaker of the House after t…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Will Pete Aguilar be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Will Katherine Clark be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?