Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.3¢
- Implied chance
- 13.3%
- Return if right
- 651.9%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 751.9 shares at 13.3¢ each.
YES wins: $751.88 back, a profit of $651.88. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $71.17 of that profit. Without it you would make $723.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.0¢
- Implied chance
- 89.0%
- Return if right
- 12.4%
- Spread cost
- 11%
If you put in $100
You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.
NO wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $13.83.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Mike Johnson7.4%
- Hakeem Jeffries78.5%
- Pete Aguilar4.2%
- Katherine Clark4.1%
- Jim Jordan4.4%
- Steve Scalise3.8%
Latest: Sep 25, 11:12 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- US speaker Mike Johnson rejects AI pause, warns of losing edge to ChinaAl Jazeera · 10d ago
- Chris Bien: Deputy chief of staff, Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.)The Hill · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Mike Johnson be the first Speaker of the House after th…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first individual elected to be Speaker of the House by the United States House of Representatives of the 120th United States Congress following the 2026 United States midterm elections. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Speaker of the House after the midterms?
- Will Steve Scalise be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
- Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
- Will Pete Aguilar be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
- Will Katherine Clark be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?
- Will Jim Jordan be the first Speaker of the House after the 2026 midterms?