Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 13.0¢
- Implied chance
- 13.0%
- Return if right
- 669.2%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 769.2 shares at 13.0¢ each.
YES wins: $769.23 back, a profit of $669.23. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $183.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $852.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.73.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 05:29 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Rivian Is Worth $23 Billion With the R2 Just Ramping. Where Will the Stock Be in 3 Years?Yahoo Finance · 1d ago
- Prediction: This Crucial Rivian Metric Will Turn Positive by Year-EndYahoo Finance · 3d ago
- Rivian's R2 Is Shipping and Uber Wants 50,000 of ThemYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Why Rivian Is Poised to Soar. Hint: It's Not All R2 Hype.Yahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Rivian Could Be a Surprise Robotaxi Winner After Scoring a $1.25 Billion Partnership With UberYahoo Finance · 5d ago
- Why Rivian Stock Fell 12% Last MonthYahoo Finance · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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