Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.4¢
- Implied chance
- 2.4%
- Return if right
- 4066.7%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 4166.7 shares at 2.4¢ each.
YES wins: $4166.67 back, a profit of $4066.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $277.78 of that profit. Without it you would make $4344.44.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.9¢
- Implied chance
- 97.9%
- Return if right
- 2.1%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 102.1 shares at 97.9¢ each.
NO wins: $102.15 back, a profit of $2.15. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.30.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:38 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Anthropic is turning Claude Code’s auto mode on by defaultTechCrunch · 1d ago
- ByteDance trains massive AI model in bid to rival AnthropicArs Technica · 3d ago
- Anthropic will design its own hardware to power ClaudeArs Technica · 4d ago
- Blackstone Has Pitched Mega Debt Package for Anthropic Chip DealBloomberg · 4d ago
- Amazon's Stake in Anthropic Could Be Worth Over $200 Billion if the AI Startup's Reported IPO Valuation Holds. Should Amazon Investors Care?Yahoo Finance · 4d ago
- Dem senator presses OpenAI, Anthropic for answers in AI hacking probeFox News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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