Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 38.0¢
- Implied chance
- 38.0%
- Return if right
- 163.2%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 263.2 shares at 38.0¢ each.
YES wins: $263.16 back, a profit of $163.16. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $166.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 63.0¢
- Implied chance
- 63.0%
- Return if right
- 58.7%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.
NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.27 of that profit. Without it you would make $60.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 8, 12:57 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- How PSG's Ballon d'Or duo are pushing each other onBBC Sport · 13d ago
- Bayern and England’s Kane not focused on Ballon d’Or despite 73-goal seasonAl Jazeera · 20d ago
- Beckham backs Messi for Ballon d’Or after netting 100th Inter Miami goalAl Jazeera · 21d ago
- Mbappé, Yamal, Dembélé, Kane: Ballon d'Or campaign is in full swingFrance 24 · 23d ago
- Mbappé, Yamal, Dembélé, Kane: Ballon d'Or campaign is in full swingFrance 24 · 23d ago
- Lamine Yamal says he ‘deserves’ Ballon d’Or but Mbappe his main rivalAl Jazeera · 24d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Michael Olise officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source: https://www.ballondor.com/
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