Will Mohamed Salah finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.1¢
- Implied chance
- 2.1%
- Return if right
- 4661.9%
- Spread cost
- 39%
If you put in $100
You get 4761.9 shares at 2.1¢ each.
YES wins: $4761.90 back, a profit of $4661.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2930.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $7592.31.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.5¢
- Implied chance
- 99.5%
- Return if right
- 0.5%
- Spread cost
- 62%
If you put in $100
You get 100.5 shares at 99.5¢ each.
NO wins: $100.50 back, a profit of $0.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Mohamed Salah1.3%
- Harry Kane98.1%
- Kylian Mbappé90.5%
- Lamine Yamal88.5%
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia36.0%
- Pau Cubarsi9.5%
Latest: Sep 1, 10:34 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Kane on Ballon d'Or hopesBBC Sport · 4d ago
- Ex-Liverpool star Fabinho reunited with Mohamed Salah at TrabzonsporAl Jazeera · 8d ago
- Mohamed Salah’s Trabzonspor debut ends in draw with KasimpasaAl Jazeera · 16d ago
- Mohamed Salah signs two-year deal with Trabzonspor after Liverpool exitAl Jazeera · 26d ago
- Mohamed Salah lands in Turkiye to fan frenzy ahead of Trabzonspor moveAl Jazeera · 27d ago
- Football star Mohamed Salah sends first message to Trabzonspor fansAl Jazeera · 27d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Mohamed Salah finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mohamed Salah officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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