Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 39.0¢
- Implied chance
- 39.0%
- Return if right
- 156.4%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.
YES wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $159.74.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 62.0¢
- Implied chance
- 62.0%
- Return if right
- 61.3%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 161.3 shares at 62.0¢ each.
NO wins: $161.29 back, a profit of $61.29. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.31 of that profit. Without it you would make $62.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 23, 09:46 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Eviction of 87-year-old woman sparks housing protests in MadridDeutsche Welle · 11h ago
- Police use teargas on protesters as disabled woman, 87, evicted from Madrid homeThe Guardian · 16h ago
- ‘Fluorescent, Dirty and Sexy’: Eire Cid’s ‘The Imaginary Kings’ Presented at Madrid Film School (ECAM) IncubatorVariety · 22h ago
- La Liga President Tebas slams Real Madrid refereeing ‘conspiracy’ claimsAl Jazeera · 2d ago
- Madrid Pitches Itself as a Global Production Hub as It Looks Ahead to Hosting the Upcoming 6th Iberseries & Platino IndustriaVariety · 2d ago
- Mourinho fumes at referees in news conference after Madrid derby defeatAl Jazeera · 3d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA