Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.8¢
- Implied chance
- 0.8%
- Return if right
- 12400.0%
- Spread cost
- 31%
If you put in $100
You get 12500.0 shares at 0.8¢ each.
YES wins: $12500.00 back, a profit of $12400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5681.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $18081.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.7¢
- Implied chance
- 99.7%
- Return if right
- 0.3%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 100.3 shares at 99.7¢ each.
NO wins: $100.30 back, a profit of $0.30. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.55.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 04:05 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- English FA calls for Infantino to release FIFA World Cup sell-off documentsAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Portuguese Artists Drop Out of Jerry Seinfeld-Headlined FestivalThe Hollywood Reporter · 16d ago
- Lav Diaz on the Hunt for Truth in ‘An Entry Into the Sadness of a Portuguese Woman,’ Third Chapter of His Acclaimed Hermes Trilogy (EXCLUSIVE)Variety · 17d ago
- Football power struggle caused FIFA World Cup plan fallout, says KushnerAl Jazeera · 23d ago
- Lionel Messi retires from international soccer after leading Argentina to 2026 FIFA World Cup finalFox News · 24d ago
- Infantino’s FIFA World Cup fallout: Lamour exits after criticism of planAl Jazeera · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA Wor…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA