Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 2.4¢
- Implied chance
- 2.4%
- Return if right
- 4066.7%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 4166.7 shares at 2.4¢ each.
YES wins: $4166.67 back, a profit of $4066.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2500.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $6566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.4¢
- Implied chance
- 99.4%
- Return if right
- 0.6%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 100.6 shares at 99.4¢ each.
NO wins: $100.60 back, a profit of $0.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.92 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.52.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:31 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Barcelona rule out Alvarez deal - Thursday's gossipBBC Sport · 7h ago
- Gabriel, 15, in Barcelona amid speculation over futureBBC Sport · 6d ago
- Barcelona’s Lamine Yamal says he has experienced racism ‘a thousand times’Al Jazeera · 6d ago
- English FA calls for Infantino to release FIFA World Cup sell-off documentsAl Jazeera · 6d ago
- Raphinha hat-trick as Barcelona hit seven past Racing SantanderBBC Sport · 7d ago
- One dead after torrential rain and flash floods hit Barcelona regionBBC News · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030. A qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own. If FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials. A qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final. If no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA