Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.4¢
- Implied chance
- 3.4%
- Return if right
- 2841.2%
- Spread cost
- 18%
If you put in $100
You get 2941.2 shares at 3.4¢ each.
YES wins: $2941.18 back, a profit of $2841.18. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $630.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $3471.43.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 97.8¢
- Implied chance
- 97.8%
- Return if right
- 2.2%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 102.2 shares at 97.8¢ each.
NO wins: $102.25 back, a profit of $2.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.88.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Macky Sall2.4%
- Rebeca Grynspan45.5%
- Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett27.4%
- Rafael Grossi5.9%
- María Fernanda Espinosa13.4%
Latest: Sep 23, 09:22 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Susan Sarandon, Hannah Einbinder Detained at United Nations Netanyahu ProtestThe Hollywood Reporter · 2h ago
- Who’s who in the race for the next UN Secretary-General?Al Jazeera · 9h ago
- Fact-checking Trump's speech at the United Nations General AssemblyFrance 24 · 1d ago
- Breaking down Iran's speech at the United Nations after Trump's "annihilate" threatCBS News · 1d ago
- Iranian president claims they are 'victims of terrorism' in United Nations speechNBC News · 1d ago
- Myanmar Has an Envoy at the United Nations. Why Is He Not Speaking?The New York Times · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
- Will Ivonne de Baki be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?