Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 20.7¢
- Implied chance
- 20.7%
- Return if right
- 383.1%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 483.1 shares at 20.7¢ each.
YES wins: $483.09 back, a profit of $383.09. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $292.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $675.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 94.9¢
- Implied chance
- 94.9%
- Return if right
- 5.4%
- Spread cost
- 64%
If you put in $100
You get 105.4 shares at 94.9¢ each.
NO wins: $105.37 back, a profit of $5.37. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $9.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.81.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett16.2%
- Rebeca Grynspan58.5%
- María Fernanda Espinosa10.9%
- Rafael Grossi9.8%
- Macky Sall3.9%
Latest: Oct 6, 09:52 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Don't let our next UN secretary-general be a shill for China, Cuba and HamasThe Hill · 7d ago
- Reporter's Notebook: Call for a free Iran echoes at the United NationsFox News · 12d ago
- Susan Sarandon, Hannah Einbinder Detained at United Nations Netanyahu ProtestThe Hollywood Reporter · 12d ago
- Who’s who in the race for the next UN Secretary-General?Al Jazeera · 12d ago
- Fact-checking Trump's speech at the United Nations General AssemblyFrance 24 · 13d ago
- Breaking down Iran's speech at the United Nations after Trump's "annihilate" threatCBS News · 13d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett be the next Secretary-General…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Next Secretary-General of the United Nations
- Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Olara Otunnu be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
- Will Ivonne de Baki be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?