Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?

Q: Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?

Prediction markets currently price this at 96%. A YES share costs 96.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 4.2% over 2.9mo.

Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?$34k liquidity$60k volumecloses 2.9mo

AITechTrumpPoliticsTrump CabinetU.S. Politics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 96.0¢
Implied chance: 96.0%
Return if right: 4.2%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.

YES wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.26.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 6.0¢
Implied chance: 6.0%
Return if right: 1566.7%
Spread cost: 18%

If you put in $100

You get 1666.7 shares at 6.0¢ each.

NO wins: $1666.67 back, a profit of $1566.67. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $1900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Oct 5, 04:11 AM2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.