Will Chamath Palihapitiya be Trump's AI czar?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
- Chamath Palihapitiya0.1%
- Jay Clayton100.0%
- No Czar by December 310.3%
- Emil Michael0.1%
- Sriram Krishnan0.1%
- Scott Kupor0.1%
Latest: Oct 5, 04:00 AM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Chamath Palihapitiya: Anthropic Employee’s “Human Extinction” AI Warning Risks $2.3 Trillion IPOYahoo Finance · 22d ago
- Chamath Palihapitiya Says ‘Trust the Experts’ Approach To AI Is a Trap, Warns it Could Make COVID ‘Pale in Comparison’Yahoo Finance · 1mo ago
- Chamath Palihapitiya Flags 3 AI Killers — Could Anthropic’s $2 Trillion IPO Dreams Crash First?Yahoo Finance · 1mo ago
- David Sacks Calls AI Regulation a 'Trojan Horse' to Shut Down Open Models, While Chamath Palihapitiya Warns US Investment Could 'Go Off of a Cliff'Yahoo Finance · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Chamath Palihapitiya be Trump's AI czar?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.